WEEKLY PLEDGE DRIVE VENMO @sEANN69
Todays Forecast
20250401
Forecast discussion 20250401
A poem for todays forecast:
The dangers extreme,
Its sketchy as hell,
Never go skiing,
It won't end well.
Just kidding,
April fools,
Its easy to manage,
Beer Run rules.
The dangers actually low,
The vibes are quite high,
There hasn't been an avalanche,
Since maybe July?
Bring out the beers,
Take home your tins,
And have a good time,
You little gremlins….
We're moving to weekly forecasts as the season grows and our snowpack shrinks.
Jah bless,
Blondie
20250326
Jagshemash muffins!
Yesterday, 1 snowboarder was caught carrying a case of beer across the glen highway. He fully buried his feelings. While this relatively wasn't that bad, in terms of the d-scale, this was a D5 event. The slope has been altered and will never look the same. The route was put through an extensive heel side edge that may have brought the majority of the BR up track down to its lowest failure plane (the ground). What did this snowboarder do wrong? He played it too safe.
Please don't play it too safe, it's corn-o-clock out there folks. One bad turn could ruin it for everyone. Straight line it. Farming tracks is dumb. Make it belligerent. Godspeed.
Rest in Pilsner,
Blondie
20250323
What's up, party pandas!
After quality observations in the BR zone yesterday… the hazard is being dropped. Without any signs of instability and Q1 skiing, we're back to a low danger rating. Your unlikely to trigger a fuckin avalanche. We want people to go skiing. Some avalanche centers don't do that. Go ski. BRAIC.
For our Midwestern family members, we appear to be trending into our favorite seasonal cycle:
corn and beers. It's all you can eat at 6pm in the BZ. Gon get sum. Skinners in.
On a side note, we're hosting a limbo event at the Long Rifle Lodge, the bar will also be ✨LOW✨.
Hugs n' kisses,
Blondie
20250322
Random person reading this: "Hey Blondie! What's the forecast for today?"
Blondie: "I care anymore..."
Love and light,
Blondie
20250321
Good morning you fat Hoar,
Today is again moderate, which means you can probably get away with some dumb decisions. If something looks sketchy, maybe—just maybe— give it the beans like you’re trying to win a Darwin Award.
We’re gonna hold moderate for 2 reasons: 1) to buffer our uncertainty and, 2) because it's hard to make a new hazard rose.
Buddy system is key. Not just for safety, but because it’s way funnier when someone else eats shit and you steal their beers. Also, pack snacks. Not really an avalanche tip, just life advice.
Bottom line: Be smart, chug, charge, and take pride in being a degenerate.
XOX,
Blondie
20250320
Whats up party people,
To kick it off today: https://en.wikinews.org/wiki/Slovak_escapes_from_avalanche_using_urine#:~:text=The%20man%E2%80%94who%20had%2060,melt%20it%2C%22%20he%20said.
This link will bring you to an older article on Wikipedia about a man who escaped an avalanche by drinking 60 beers and peeing outside his trapped car. This is a published, peer reviewed article defining the best tactic to escape a slide big enough to bury you within the BR zone.
Were moderately confident its still moderate hazard. Whatever.
Stay safe not sober,
Blondie
20250318
Welcome back from your dark holes you little leprechauns,
Yesterday was our state mandated day off. Apologies.
Increased snowfall and sustained light, gusting moderate, winds from the north east, have kept our avalanche hazard at moderate. Today natural avalanches are unlikely, and human triggers remain possible. There's a lot of ways to skin a cat. You could code this problem type as a storm slab based on HST, a wind slab based on distribution, or a persistent slab based on the interface its failing on. We don't care what you call it. Its 10-30cm down from the surface and its possible to trigger. Dont believe us? That sucks, we are as close to god as it comes north of the old glen highway. Welcome to the deep south Talkeetnas, we make moonshine out of moose shit.
America, fuck yea,
Blondie
20250316
Cock-a-doodle doo Komrades,
Let's fuckin go! A substantial snowfall overnight resulted in 2cm at our lowest elevation band. With such a massive loading on a such a fucked interface, we're upping our danger to "soft" moderate at all elevation bands. Natural avalanches are unlikely, but with the load of a dog, avalanches may occur. We're forecasting a storm slab avalanche problem type today. While the 2cm threshold may not be consistent with other avalanche centers, we're super conservative here at the BRAIC. As the day grows, moderate winds and increased snowfall will be indicators that avalanche hazard is increasing. The best way to manage this avalanche problem is to fuckin giver. Point those tips straight brethren. You can do it. Make like Gump and run you son-of-a-bitch.
Tonight, we will be hosting a charity event at the Majestic Heli Ski Lodge. There is a recommended attire of an orange coat and a slight buzz. BYOB but don't bring it to the bar because Alan will get pissed. Our partner sponsor GBW will be hosting hot dogs at Flight Ops as a pregame to the evening's festivities. Bring those wallets gang!
It's a good day to be a dog,
Blondie
20250315
Goood morning Chickaloon,
We have started our weekly pledge drive, if you like to read our forecasts/ drink beer please consider donating! Please send donations directly to the Director of Finance via the Venmo handle @seann69
Todays forecast includes much of the same as the rest of them. Avalanches are unlikely to occur at all elevation bands. If you'd like to step out and switch from skiing to snowboarding, go ahead and giver the beans bud. Today is another great day for absolute shenanigans.
Haiku
I was born in the
Darkness. I have nothing to
write about anymore
A quick blog:
While we have low danger currently, in Marxist terms, one day there will be a revolution in our snowpack. The snowpack is in a flaccid state, composed of overworked working class grains. When a new load lands atop these busy, weak grains, either through wind transport or moderate snow totals, a new echelon will be created. A wealthy concentrated slab, bound tightly together, will be the end to the structure of the current snowpack. With added additional load (you protesting with your skis on) failure may trickle under your feet. In the early days of this new classist structure, cracks and collapses can be observed as you travel. As this structure grows age and financial disparity, failure might not have any pre-indicators. The system will fall. The mass of weak, lower class grains, won't support the overburden stress of the wealthy upper class. The entire BR zone will fall. The wealthy will end up at the bottom of the BR zone, and the mass of working class grains will remain.
Fire.
Chaos.
Marxism.
Signing off, signing out, and actively jumping into a fire to save some poultry,
Blondie
20250314
Happy Pi Day Komrades,
Yesterday, the majority of the Friends of BRAIC went out for a beer filled tour. We observed with our ears and heard a few large collapses in our snowpack. Gravity didn't come through on this adventure, and no avalanches were triggered despite the load of 6 ski tourers and 100 beers.
What even is Pi? What is a snowpack? What are avalanches? A facet? I have no idea. I write these forecasts every morning and I blatantly have no idea where I even am.
There's no actual increased avalanche hazard but we're recommending you cancel your day of beer drinking and whatever the fuck you all do in your down time, drive down to Eureka and get some fuckin Pie.
Clear, mountain water transparency here at the BRAIC, as always. 😘
God? Its me,
Blondie
20250313
Vilkomen Komrades,
A dog's breakfast of mixed precipitation particles fell overnight in amounts totaling a thick trace. Relatively speaking, thick like chip not like glizzy.
If Majestic heli ski has a safe space we have a low danger, chaos space at the BRAIC. It's similar to what the kids call a “rage room.” Ski into a fuckin alder, straight line the gully and compress a disk. Break your boots. Crush cans with your forehead. Burn shit in the parking lot.
We've been reading a little Karl Marx…
Fuck it,
Blondie (Lead Forecaster)
20250312
Good morning BR users! Another half trace of snow in the last 24 brings our weekly total up to 1cm. Get your snorkels out, it's going to be overhead. While we are seeing additional load on our willow/cheesy ball/ chippy/ glizzy weak layers, the slab is currently not stiff enough for propagation. As a result, we're gonna make like Flo Rida and keep it low. Weather is setting up to make today one for the books, and unlike other forecast centers, we urge you to get out there and actively try to trigger an avalanche. Let us know if you do, because we're pretty sure it's entirely impossible right now.
Shawty had them apple bottom jeans,
Boots with the fur,
Get out and go for a turrr,
-Blondie (lead forecaster)
Avalanche Hazard Rose
2900’ - 3300’ LOW
3300’ - 3700’ LOW
3700’ - 420’ LOW
Observations
Operational zone for BRAIC, note its green. avalanche detector
Forecast 20250311.
Forecast 20250309.
Forecast 20250308.
A classic scene from beer run.
Photo credit: Karl
Que the saying: "there's a 1000 ways to skin a cat"
A snowpit dug by moose, fuckers. 20250313.
The truth before your eyes. There is avalanche terrain on Beer Run despite gossip amongst the townsfolk. 20250313.
About Beer Run Avalanche
Blondie-Lead Forecaster
Hi, I am Blondie. I am a dog. I wrote this with my paws. I like biting unsuspecting victims in the dark, scratching on the door at 4 am, and occasionally chugging a stolen beer and poaching your beer run lap, wildly uninvited. Go fuck yourself, Chickaloon
Contact Us
Better yet, see us in person! Or don't!
Hours
Open today | 09:00 am – 05:00 pm |
